The Donald Trump’s triumph in Indiana Primary has cemented his candidature for the 2016 US presidential elections. The debate has already started what and how the “Trump Syndrome” would impact on the global politics. There is no doubt on the fact that the US is still a leading geopolitical power in the world. Therefore, any shift in the US politics has an accentuated implication on the world politics.
There are two scenarios to look in, if Donald Trump wins the 2016 US Presidential elections. One is what changes the Trump administration would bring inside the US. The immediate issues he has to look in are emerging gun violence, new kind of racial discrimination, as it became more critical after a brutal killing of a young black boy in the Ferguson last year, issues related to immigration, debts and trade deficit in the US economy etc. These issues may not be so much significant to the outside world. The issues, which are critical to the world outside, are related to the US foreign Policy under the Trump administration.
As a student of US foreign policy, we don’t see any fundamental difference between the Democrats and Republicans on issues related to the foreign policy. There may be a difference of a degree that too on issue based. We did not see any fundamental shift in the US policy on West Asia from Bush era to the incumbent Obama administration. Notwithstanding, the Obama’s Noble winner Prague and Cairo Speeches on nuclear disarmament and reconciliation towards West Asia respectively did not altered the fundamental sense in the Pentagon, while dealing with the world. The Israel-Palestine issue is still lingering unabatedly. The Iran nuclear deal has brought more trouble than peace in the West Asian region as it has widened the gulf between the Saudi Arabia and the Iran and accelerated sectarian divisions in the region. The New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) between the Russia and the US has also not materialized; rather the US has pursued a development of new weaponry.
Instead of the aforesaid fact the Trump’s foreign policy would be an interesting period in the global politics. It is difficult to realize what Trump would do once he takes the throne of White House. Would his speeches during election campaign are off more rhetorical than reality only time would tell us. But, some sense can be drawn from his recent foreign policy speech in which he talk about ‘New Rational American Foreign Policy’ based on American unilateralism, trade protectionism and fight with radical Islam.
Noam Chomsky, worlds leading think tank believes that world would be more dangerous if the Trump wins White House race. Trump’s arguments on issues related to conflicts in West Asia, South China Sea, East China Sea, contestation on issues related to global environment and trade are disastrous.
Donald Trump has hinted that he may revisit the Iran nuclear deal. He talk about war against “radical Islam” and even he suggested that Muslims should be banned from entering into the US. During his recent foreign policy speech he referred Israel as an important alley in the West Asia. Therefore, should be given more protection. He also hinted that the Missile Defense Programme in Poland and Czech Republic would be restarted, therefore more trouble with Russia. Coming to the South Asia he praised India while asking to make Pakistan more accountable. He may deal with India and Pakistan separately that won’t be good for peace and reconciliation between the two nuclear armed neighbors.
Hyperbolism during elections has always been disproved. Whether this happens in Trump’s case the future would tell us, if it does not happen then it is likely that he would bring more trouble to the world.
