Tuesday, 2 December 2014

Obama on the Republic Day: Will it open a new chapter in the Indo-US Relation?


The invitation of US President Barak Husain Obama on the eve of Indian Republic Day is per se a strategic move by the Indian Prime Minister Mr. Narender Modi, as it would bring back Indo-US relation from the dormancy period towards a new era. The Invitation is also important as Mr. Obama will be the first US President as Chief Guest on India’s Republic Day. The Obama administration has not reached to India as it would have been expected after the departure of Republican President G. Bush, in the year 2009. The Indo-US relation reached at its best during the Bush’s term and it became more vibrant after unfolding the famous Indo-US Civil Nuclear Agreement in the year 2005.
The presence of US President on the India’s Republic Day has substantive diplomatic significance as on this day India demonstrates its military capability by portraying its weaponry it is possessed with. This time it becomes more interesting if India would display the AGNI V, Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM), as some sources believe so.  The Agni-V (operational range 5000 thousand KM) can target all of Asia and parts of the Africa and the Europe and more importantly, can hit any part of the Beijing. It is part of the Agni series of missiles developed under the Integrated Guided Missile Development Programme (IGMDP). Choosing the US President as Chief Guest and simultaneously displaying AGNI V, India has two things to achieve clandestinely. One, India would get global legitimacy to its military hardware in front of world’s super power and two, it would sent a message to the Beijing about India’s military-cum-diplomatic strength. Therefore the implication of Obama’s invitation beyond India’s borders cannot be overruled.
            In the recent times Indo-US relation was by and large not going well. There were many bilateral-cum-multilateral issues on which two countries differ in the recent past. The Devyani Khobragade strip search created big irritation in running the bilateral relation smoothly. To its earlier India refused to lean on US side on two occasions. One India did not support US backed resolution on Tamil human rights issue in the Srilanka in the United Nations Human Right Council and two; India took a lenient position on the Crimean annexation by the Russia. The big irritant in the bilateral relation is Nuclear Liability issue. After conceding nuclear deal to India, United States would have expected big business out of it. But the Indian government took a serious note of liability issue in case of nuclear accident do occur in future. The issue became more serious after the recent nuclear accident in the Japan. The US nuclear suppliers do not want to become responsible in case of an accident but the India position on nuclear liability stands for that supplier of nuclear material is obligatory to bear the cast in case of such an emergency.
The recent consensus on the signing of Trade Facilitation Agreement (TFA) in the WTO, which was another contentious issue between the two countries, would also help to substantiate the bilateral relations. The India did not support TFA as it was not accommodating Indian subsidies and the modus operandi of its food procurement policy at home. Now the issue has been resolved and it is expected that the two countries would also get consensus on the climate issue.

The Indian government will try to convince US President to deliver high technology to India, its membership in the NSG (Nuclear Suppliers Group) and resolution of H1B1 visa issue and in return the US president will impress on its Indian counterpart to move beyond liability fiasco and will also pursue the recent agreement with China on climate issue with the government of India. To what extent the two sides will succeed on these issues but, the Indo-US bilateral relation will be lifted towards new height.

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